Arya Somu

Judgement and calibration are the bottlenecks to good decisions under uncertainty. Models can now produce forecasts at scale, but not ones whose confidence you can take at face value. What we're building at Laplace Research is our attempt at solving the latter, so that human judgement can be spent choosing which questions matter rather than second-guessing the answers.

I am the founder and CIO of Monolith Investments LP, an AI-influenced Infrastructure and Macro fund. I study CS and Math at the University of California, San Diego and research efficient rare event algorithms at Stanford's AFT Lab. I'm broadly interested in continual learning, exchange operations, and frontier intelligence overall.

Most recently, I interned at Alexandria, where I built agents across trading and security. Previously, I interned on Esplanade Capital's fixed income desk, where I worked on prepayment modeling and OAS analysis. When I'm free, I'm typically playing very competitive poker, badminton, or building something.

Selected Work